tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 584 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 584 · DFW → TUS

departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 3:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TUS?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.