Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 654SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 654 · SEA → MIA
departs 12:56 PM PT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.