AA 659 · SEA → CLT

departs 10:46 PM PT · arrives 6:49 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 659 · SEA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?