Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 834 · MIA → PIT

departs 2:12 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 834 · MIA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?