Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9791 LANDED 12:58 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

AA 9791 · DFW → MIA

took off 9:39 PM CT · landed 12:58 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9791 · DFW → MIA

Odds over time