Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2614 LANDED 5:00 PM PT, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

AS 2614 · CVG → PDX

took off 3:45 PM ET · landed 5:00 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2614 · CVG → PDX

Odds over time