Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 65 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AS 65 · KTN → WRG

departs 8:57 AM AKDT · arrives 9:37 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at WRG more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±6 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to WRG?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,267 ft, 2.3 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at WRG that day

↑ Other factors

↓ WRG usually runs smoothly

↓ 8am departures from KTN are usually not late

Weather at each end

KTN (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,267 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.27 in

WRG (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.68 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 65 · KTN → WRG

Odds over time

How late will it get to WRG?