Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 65 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AS 65 · KTN → WRG

departs 8:57 AM AKDT · arrives 9:37 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at WRG more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to WRG?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at WRG that day

↑ Other factors

↓ WRG usually runs smoothly

↓ 8am departures from KTN are usually not late

Weather at each end

KTN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.65 in

WRG (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 65 · KTN → WRG

Odds over time

How late will it get to WRG?