AS 7004 · KTN → SIT

departs 5:26 PM AKDT · arrives 6:36 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ SIT usually runs smoothly

↓ SIT is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

KTN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.51 in

SIT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7004 · KTN → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?