AS 7005 · SIT → KTN

departs 8:44 AM AKDT · arrives 9:50 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at KTN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to KTN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ KTN usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into KTN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SIT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.82 in

KTN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.96 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · SIT → KTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to KTN?