Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
B6 1294 · MCO → HPN
departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 10:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 44%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.