Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
B6 1294 · MCO → HPN
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.39 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,143 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.