B6 2602 · SJU → HPN

departs 5:44 PM AT · arrives 9:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HPN?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from SJU are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HPN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

HPN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2602 · SJU → HPN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HPN?