Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1425 · TPA → ATL
departs 7:04 PM ET · arrives 9:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.