Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1497 · MCO → ATL
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.