Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 1497 · MCO → ATL
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 18%
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.47 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.