Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2181
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2181 · AVL → MSP
departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 12%
Fri 10/9 15%
Sat 10/10 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AVL that day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.12 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.