Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2200
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2200 · CMH → ATL
departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.