Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2484 · ATL → BHM
departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at BHM that day
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.35 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.