Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2484 · ATL → BHM
departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 3:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,033 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.