DL 2484 · ATL → BHM

departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2484 · ATL → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?