DL 561 · MKE → MSP

departs 12:07 PM CT · arrives 1:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MKE are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MSP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 561 · MKE → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?