Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

DL 573 · ATL → AVL

departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:08 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.09 in

AVL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip1.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 573 · ATL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?