Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

DL 573 · ATL → AVL

departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:08 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.95 in

AVL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 573 · ATL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?