Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8931 LANDED 3:22 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

DL 8931 · YQB → MIA

took off 12:07 AM EDT · landed 3:22 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YQB

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YQB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8931 · YQB → MIA

Odds over time