Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 1036 · DTW → TPA
departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 10%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.