Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2505
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2505 · PHL → MCO
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day
↓
Other factors
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.