Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2505
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 2505 · PHL → MCO
departs 4:49 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 26%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.