Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2634
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2634 · ATL → BWI
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 26%
Thu 10/8 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.