tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2634 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

F9 2634 · ATL → BWI

departs 4:06 PM ET · arrives 6:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 120h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Tuesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.