Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2925 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:30 AM ET, ETA 10:40 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

F9 2925 · BWI → TPA

took off 8:30 AM ET · expected to land 10:40 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.17 in

TPA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2925 · BWI → TPA

Odds over time