Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3371
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 3371 · RDU → TPA
departs 10:34 PM ET · arrives 12:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.30 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 10,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.