Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 4406 · ATL → MIA
departs 11:47 AM ET · arrives 1:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.35 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.