Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 4602 · ATL → EWR
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 1:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 35%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.33 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.