Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 4602 · ATL → EWR
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 1:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip 0.05 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.