Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
F9 4726 · MCO → SJU
departs 11:17 PM ET · arrives 2:15 AM AT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.