tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4994 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

F9 4994 · DFW → MSY

departs 11:51 AM CT · arrives 1:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.