MQ 3577 · MIA → EYW

departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 1:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW

↓ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

EYW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3577 · MIA → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?