Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3689 · MFE → DFW
departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±6 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.