Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3749
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3749 · PNS → MIA
departs 5:04 PM CT · arrives 7:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±7 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.91 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.