Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3750
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3750 · DCA → MYR
departs 4:09 PM ET · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
4pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.34 in
MYR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.89 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.