Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3782 · SAV → MIA
departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 7:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAV that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
SAV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAV (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.70 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.