Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3831
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
MQ 3831 · PHX → TUS
departs 7:15 AM MT · arrives 8:07 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to TUS?
-
On time or early
88%
-
15–30 min late
4%
-
30 min–1 hour late
5%
-
1–2 hours late
2%
-
Over 2 hours late
<1%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.