MQ 3971 · DFW → TYR

departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 5:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TYR that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ TYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

TYR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3971 · DFW → TYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYR?