Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3999
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3999 · DFW → GCK
departs 1:15 PM CT · arrives 2:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at GCK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at GCK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GCK?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GCK
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.09 in
GCK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.