Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4054 LANDED 10:51 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

MQ 4054 · ORD → SAV

took off 8:07 AM CT · landed 10:51 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4054 · ORD → SAV

Odds over time