OH 5025 · DCA → JAN

departs 9:03 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

JAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5025 · DCA → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?