Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5042 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5042 · DCA → AGS

departs 10:11 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at AGS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AGS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AGS that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AGS is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

AGS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5042 · DCA → AGS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AGS?