OH 5058 · DCA → BDL

departs 5:46 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.09 in

BDL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5058 · DCA → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?