OH 5068 · BHM → CLT

departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 1:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 567 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from BHM are usually not late

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling567 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5068 · BHM → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?